Faulty poll

DLP says voters, not pollsters, will decide next election

The Democratic Labour Party (DLP) has dismissed a conclusion by pollster and political scientist Peter Wickham that it would go into the next general election campaign with only four safe seats.

However, General Secretary George Pilgrim did not appear to be brimming with confidence, telling journalists at a press conference at the party’s headquarters on George Street, St Michael that the voters would decide.

Wickham this week told Barbados TODAY the DLP could only count on St Michael North West represented by Minister of Finance Chris Sinckler; St John, represented by Mara Thompson; St Philip North held by Minister of Transport and Works Michael Lashley and St Philip West where the incumbent is Minister of Agriculture, Food, Fisheries and Water Resource Management, Dr David Estwick.

And even then, he said, St John could be vulnerable if reports that Thompson, the widow of late Prime Minister David Thompson, would withdraw from the race were true.

His scientific findings were supported by a random survey of the Pulse of the People in all 30 constituencies by Barbados TODAY, which found that the struggling economy and high taxes had severely – if not mortally – damaged the DLP’s chances of re-election.

While insisting he was not buying the findings of either the Pulse of the People survey, which he said “we didn’t find very scientific”, or Wickham, Pilgrim steered clear of revealing the number of seats which the DLP thought were safe, nor did he volunteer any confidence that the party would be returned to power. Instead, he said the ruling party would place its faith in the Barbadian voter.

“Wickham is free to say what he wants to say. He is a longstanding pollster,” Pilgrim told journalists.

“All of the evidence that we discussed in this very room here suggests otherwise as far as seats that the Democratic Labour Party will lose or will win. I am optimistic that the party and the candidates will report for duty whenever the election is called and ultimately the voters make the decision on who wins the government, not a pollster,” the DLP general secretary stressed,

“So we implore the citizens of Barbados . . . to look carefully upon the policies that will continue to flow from the Democratic Labour Party, the ones that you are being promised from the Opposition and then you have a chance to make that determination. Ultimately it is left to the voters.” 

Wickham’s scientific poll in June of this year found that the DLP had only 11 per cent support, a long way behind the 51 per cent enjoyed by the Opposition Barbados Labour Party (BLP). Satisfaction with the DLP Government at the time was at 3.3 out of ten compared to 5.3 for the BLP, while 71 per cent of Barbadians said they would like a change of Government, compared with 48 per cent when the Government last changed in 2008.

However, Wickham told Barbados TODAY this week that while the DLP was guaranteed four seats, it did not mean the BLP would take all the remaining ones.

Still, he said the governing party had a lot of work to do if it wanted to win a third straight term.

“The whole central corridor . . . St Michael, Christ Church, St George and what’s not is vulnerable to the Barbados Labour Party largely because of the economic conditions nationally and the way that people are voting. And if you look at the way the seats are stacked, you have a range of seats that are . . . in a ten per cent swing . . . and once you get a ten per cent swing nationally, it is going to cause some problems,” Wickham said.

emmannueljoseph@barbadostoday.bb

7 Responses to Faulty poll

  1. Saga Boy October 19, 2017 at 11:44 pm

    Peter Wick-ham is trying his best to influence the voting of constituents because of his hatred for the PM. He has no credibility.

    Reply
    • harry turnover October 20, 2017 at 7:16 am

      All a wunna DLP yard fowls paling cocks and swamp ducks looking fa red herrings and wishing and hoping like Dusty Springfield bout this and bout dat.
      Peter Wickham can’t influence nabody cause on election day people gine see DLP BLP and others on ballot slips…they in gine see Mia qualifications,Transport Board,ZRs or RED HERRINGS on any slips…and furthermore by that time BAJANS gine be in PARTY MODE and as the saying goes WE GOT SHORT MEMORY so we in gine remember NONE A DAT.
      …and when I say Party Mode,I mean we will be stocking up the food and drink at the different constituencies in anticipation of the DLPs DEMISE.
      Saga boy ,in the lead up to the 2008 elections people like you weren’t trying to influence the constituents because of wunna hatred for Owen Arthur ?…YOU and wunna had credibility den ?

      Reply
    • hcalndre October 20, 2017 at 11:52 am

      @Saga Boy; Mr. Wickham is a pollster, he is not running for any office. When the DLP won the last election, it was by the skin of their teeth, the PM had no room to be a leader, that`s why every one of his ministers were their own bosses. They won the last election not on performance but on lies, promises deep pockets, what you think would be their war cry this time around? Not the bus fares, it looks like Miss. Mottley.

      Reply
  2. Tryasyoulike October 20, 2017 at 6:15 am

    What about us voters? We have credibility? I have not met a single person who will vote for the DLP in the next election. All everyone is talking about is getting this government GONE.

    Reply
  3. Puppa Weekes October 20, 2017 at 7:48 am

    Come on you two Pollsters, behave. I really thought that you fine gentlemen were observing these polls in a positive way.

    Reply
  4. Sheron Inniss October 20, 2017 at 7:44 pm

    wunnuh done vote out in people’s mind, keep quiet.

    Reply
  5. Ras October 20, 2017 at 8:35 pm

    A poll conducted by any BLP yard duck or Sodomite will always say BLP going win, just like last election

    Reply

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