Goodbye Trump, Hello Pence!

The leadership of the Republican Party is now quietly planning for Trump’s departure and the elevation of their man, Vice President Mike Pence, to the presidency. Meanwhile, the ghost of George Wallace looks on ironically at this conspiracy to dump Trump.

Remember Wallace, the racist Governor of Alabama who ran both as an independent candidate and a Democratic candidate for the presidency in 1968, 1972 and 1976? Wallace shocked political pundits by winning nearly 10 million popular votes in the 1968 election. He carried five states, sweeping most of the Deep South — Georgia, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi and his home state of Alabama. He won 46 electoral votes, the last third-party presidential candidate to win any electoral votes.

If you want to understand Trump, you just have to imagine what it would have been like if George Wallace had actually won the 1968 primary and general election as a Democrat. The same turbulent relationship that we now see between Trump and the ‘establishment’ Republicans would have been the same between Wallace and the Democrats in 1968.

Like Trump, Wallace was a racist rabble rouser whose symbol of choice was the Confederate Flag, which then and now represented white supremacy throughout the South. Wallace’s rallying cry was ‘segregation now, segregation tomorrow, segregation forever’. Trump echoes these words when, in response to proposals to remove Confederate statues, he says, ‘they’re trying to take away our culture. They’re trying to take away our history.’ The people in Trump’s audience understand only too well who ‘they’ and ‘our’ are. The core of Trump’s support is white southerners, plus some northern working class whites who, rightly, feel disgruntled with their economic plight.

Prior to the passage of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, the South was solidly Democratic. Then, they abandoned the Democratic Party and flocked to the Republican Party which encouraged and exploited their racial resentment. Whereas hitherto the Republicans used coded language to whip up racist support, Trump is now doing so openly. Charlottesville and its aftermath exemplify this.

But Trump’s disregard for political correctness, along with his narcissism, mental instability, and unpredictability, is upsetting the Republican leadership in Congress. When the Chairman of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, Bob Corker of Tennessee, openly criticizes Trump for his instability and incompetence, you know the writing is on the wall for Trump. So the leadership is planning how to ease Trump out of office and insert a more reliable and more right-wing conservative, Vice President Pence. I suspect they may have also spoken to Pence and the three key Administration generals, Defense Secretary Mattis, National Security Advisor McMaster, and Chief of Staff Kelly, about ensuring that Trump, in the meantime, does not have access to the nuclear codes (they probably replace the nuclear codes in the suitcase every day with chocolate cake and a hamburger slathered in ketchup. Just in case).

So how will the Republican plan work?

Option 1. (preferred option) The Republican leadership quietly urges the three committees investigating the Russian collusion with the Trump campaign to ratchet up their work. Also keep an eye on the Mueller investigation. Then send a delegation to Trump and tell him things are not looking good, but if he steps down now and gets Pence to promise to pardon him and all his family, the pressure will be eased up. If he fails to accept their advice, assure him that the investigation will inevitably unearth all the shady real estate dealings, including money laundering, that his business has been involved in. Failure to act now may result in impeachment and the loss of all his wealth and maybe even a lengthy prison term since Pence would not pardon him if he refused to go.

Option 2. Use the 25th Amendment to the Constitution to remove Trump on the grounds that he is unable, for mental or physical reasons, to discharge the duties
of his office. This, however requires
the assent of the vice president and a majority of the members of the president’s cabinet. This should not be difficult to achieve if the Republicans plan carefully and shrewdly. The Congress would then appoint a new vice president. They would wisely choose a highly conservative popular person from the South. This is not a bad option, but if Trump resisted and stoked his base to ‘lock and load’ and come running to his defence, this could lead to social and economic turmoil.

Option 3. Let the Muller investigation play out and start impeachment proceedings for ‘high crimes and misdemeanours’ against Trump on the basis of the Mueller report. This is the messiest and most uncertain option.

Let’s wait and see.

Source: (Dr Peter Laurie is a retired head of the Barbados Foreign Service who once served as this island’s ambassador to the United States)

19 Responses to Goodbye Trump, Hello Pence!

  1. Philip F. Corbin
    Philip F. Corbin August 29, 2017 at 11:53 am

    That’s ridiculous ! Trump epitomizes the Republican Party ……they won’t dump him.

    Reply
  2. Rene Gade
    Rene Gade August 29, 2017 at 12:39 pm

    BS!

    Reply
  3. Thomas Love
    Thomas Love August 29, 2017 at 1:09 pm

    I remember an old comedy skit where someone was trying to describe a professional sports event and had no clue what was going on. That is what it is like when I read Barbados Today’s opinions on American politics.

    Reply
    • Thomas Latham
      Thomas Latham August 29, 2017 at 1:18 pm

      Andy Griffith “what it was was football”

      Reply
    • Thomas Love
      Thomas Love August 29, 2017 at 1:27 pm

      I was thinking that is what it was but was not sure. 🙂

      Reply
  4. Wayne Spooner
    Wayne Spooner August 29, 2017 at 1:10 pm

    Stop reporting this BS, it makes you look like the national enquirer gossip rag. President Trump is going no where, stop letting these fools make the Barbados newspaper look stupid by reprinting this crap.

    Reply
  5. Chris Gill
    Chris Gill August 29, 2017 at 1:26 pm

    Wake up Laurie!! The Liberal Left side of your brain has fallen asleep and is having s BS dream.

    Reply
  6. Michael Brown
    Michael Brown August 29, 2017 at 1:32 pm

    #Fakenews

    Reply
  7. Steven Layne
    Steven Layne August 29, 2017 at 2:16 pm

    Way to much information, what about your political situation is it any better!

    Reply
  8. Ser Adelphel
    Ser Adelphel August 29, 2017 at 3:06 pm

    Ohh. So now Barbados today is becoming a replica of CNN, MSNBC,NBC, and all the other liberal news outlets in America.

    Don’t disseminate #FakeNews Barbados today, or be treated like CNN. Don’t think that Barbadian republicans or right wingers don’t exist in Barbados

    Reply
    • Kim Kearney
      Kim Kearney August 29, 2017 at 4:15 pm

      Funny you left out the biggest fake news outlet of them all FOX….shoukd expect that from Republican liars…with the liar in chief in office

      Reply
  9. Jai Khan
    Jai Khan August 29, 2017 at 3:18 pm

    Amazingly Laurie starts by saying the Republicans are ‘quietly planning’ but he!! thousands of miles away knows the whole plan… I tell yuh

    Reply
  10. Tony Webster August 29, 2017 at 3:22 pm

    I surely hope that our best global leaders are similarly trying to find a peaceful way out of the Trump Swamp ( the brand -new one he has created), and using all lines of access to the sane elements within both the Republican and Democrats camps. He is clearly capable of doing everything, and doing anything, and also of doing absolutely nothing,..all whilst chewing gum… and twittering. Does he really appreciate the magnitude of the office he holds, and any idea of how critically poised this miserable world is, right now, and the necessity of all world leaders to avoid any of the several threatening armageddons: climatic, trade, nuclear, and humanistic/refugees?
    Never dreamed that the U.S.A. could have comitted a virtual Har-Kari, right there on 1600 Penn. and across every global flat-screen.

    Reply
  11. Sean R. Phillips
    Sean R. Phillips August 29, 2017 at 5:02 pm

    This is nonsense and instead of focusing on the Trump Administration and the US for that,focus your efforts on helping Barbadians and the country. Investigate corruption,crime social disorder,economy healthcare. Barbados is in deep trouble and that is where the effort and focus should be.

    Reply
  12. Jevrone Emtage
    Jevrone Emtage August 29, 2017 at 6:05 pm

    Where did Barbados Today get this info from ???

    Reply
  13. Betty Proverbs
    Betty Proverbs August 29, 2017 at 6:52 pm

    FAKE NEWS !

    Reply
  14. Anfaani Henry
    Anfaani Henry August 29, 2017 at 8:00 pm

    I hate he…but the vice is no better. Just a regular devil like the rest

    Reply

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