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Things not looking good for ruling party – Wickham

With just under two years to go before a general election is constitutionally due, the chances of the Democratic Labour Party (DLP) regaining power are looking slim, according to political scientist and pollster Peter Wickham.

However, the head of Caribbean Development Research Services is warning that the DLP should not be written off because the situation could all change as the election drew closer.

Wickham, who over the years has correctly predicted the results of a number of elections both here and in the region, told Barbados TODAY that based on the last information he saw, the DLP was not in a good position.

In fact, Wickham, in assessing the governing party following its 61st annual conference over the weekend, said the party’s plea to residents to trust in it and that Government was doing what was necessary to bring about positive change in the economy did not resonate.

“I think the general understanding is that they are doing badly. The last poll I saw that was done by Systematic suggested that they were doing badly, but the fact of the matter is that a year before the 2013 election they were doing badly too. So you really don’t know what will happen, what they will pull out at the last minute. But for the time being I think they are doing horribly.

“The economic indicators are not good and they are relying on trust, where they are saying to people trust that in six weeks we will have sufficient foreign exchange to pull us out and trust all of these things, and I think that Barbadians, perhaps the trust for the DLP is at an all time low because we hear, each time they speak, we hear things over and over saying you are supposed to trust. I don’t know that I get excited,” Wickham said.

In relation to the party’s 61st annual conference over the weekend, Wickham said it was not as significant as it could have been since it came right after the Financial Statement and Budgetary Proposals.

He argued while Prime Minister Freundel Stuart “said what he had to say” and what was expected of him on such an occasion, there was not a lot that Stuart could have said since he was not one to make policy pronouncements.

“You never really get any major policy announcements, and it comes right after the budget in which they all had an opportunity to speak and present, and I tend to think that the budget takes the sting out of speeches like that.

“So you tend to look forward to it less because he has just done the budget and you know that he spoke fairly extensively during that and you are not going to hear anything that hasn’t been said before,” Wickham explained.

11 Responses to Poor DEMS

  1. Philip Matthews
    Philip Matthews August 23, 2016 at 2:40 am

    that is what we all thought the last election , I know of 4 people who did not bother to vote because they thought the DLP was going to lose even if they did not vote ,

  2. Pamela Bowen
    Pamela Bowen August 23, 2016 at 5:56 am

    you mean POOR we.

  3. Sherlock Holmes. August 23, 2016 at 7:13 am

    Mr two poll man you are at it again, why don’t you just accept that you are a soothsayer who because of you last minute poll caused the BLP to lose the last election, and true to form here you are again spouting your rhetoric.Your credibility has been shot to pieces and i am sure that with your mouthings and the fact that you cannot be trusted the same will happen again. Every day you take to your forum at a certain media house cussing the PM and the government in an effort to evoke an anti government movement,but for your information just as they are many who might revel in your behavior, they are just as many who despise it,my advice to you is to keep it up, go ahead with your push polling agenda at the end of the day we will all see the outcome. You have become so predictable in your actions that it is not funny even though the budget in my opinion was not the best,some in certain capacities have given it a thumbs up so i expected you to creep out of the wood work with your spin. Anyway as i have said you are predictable Mr two poll man and i have realized that your predictability where your polls have concerned has suddenly garnered a new catch phrase, too close to call, it shows that you have not recovered from the embarrassment of the two poll fiasco. Wickham we all know you have a tendency to be mendacious so it is hard to accept your mouthings, let’s hope you do not cost your people another election.

  4. Hal Austin August 23, 2016 at 8:06 am

    This gives activists time to form a new party with vision to articulate the concerns of ordinary people.

  5. BaJan boy August 23, 2016 at 8:09 am

    @Sherlock Holmes once the messenger isn’t kissing up to you and your out of touch iliterate Dems you shoot the messenger. Sure f he had said that the Dems are looking great despite their indifference and destruction of our country you would be saying the opposite. Poor soul wunnah just ain’t got it and bajans eyes opened..

  6. Sherlock Holmes. August 23, 2016 at 9:04 am

    Deal with the facts Bajan Boy dispute any of the above unlike you i do not care for politicians i view them from exactly what they convey,but you on the other hand will swallow whatever is put before you by persons like the author of this article,not me though i see them for what they are. Regardless of which side they represent.

  7. Sue Donym August 23, 2016 at 10:18 am

    Whatever one might think of Peter Wickham, his polling techniques or the poll results and interpretations, you’d have to be deaf, blind and very naive to not know that the DEMS are far less popular than they were in February 2013.

    These are facts, not based on party or personality preferences and you’d be less than honest to say that most people had unwavering confidence in the current administration. Talk or think about management of the national economy, finances, resources, appointments, investigations, judiciary, labour relations, health services, education…

  8. Leroy August 24, 2016 at 4:02 am

    Sherlock holmes, what is your problem? You are so out of touch, do you not understand polling?
    The last election was won by one seat, do you have any idea how close that is or how easily that could have been one seat infavour of blp thus matching wickhams asessment? Polling is not an exact science but cadres does a dam good job and every pollsters knows there must continually adjust their methodology because of this, so stop shooting at the messenger my dear sherlock.

  9. seagul August 24, 2016 at 5:22 am

    This cadres or cadavers should be given a dam good departure from the Caribbean–these political yard-fowls are only here to bring disunity among ourselves and our neighbors. These are the facts–Ninety percent of the politicians are crooked actors.

  10. harry turnover August 24, 2016 at 8:16 am

    Peter Wickham YOU ARE DOING A GOOD JOB and KEEP IT UP…don’t mind pseudo men like Sherlock Holmes…he is just one of those that pretends to know every jack sh8,..what people should say,how and when they should say it …and in the end all he achieves is a NUISANCE status’…get use to it…a great PRETENDER is what you are HOLMES.

  11. Zeus August 25, 2016 at 11:01 am

    Harry what is the good job Peter wickham doing …..I don’t know how many of you bloggers live here on this little rock but for the time mr wickham has been allegedly carrying out polls I have ask persons from the rum shop to the church if they have ever been polled by mr wickham and up to present date I have not heard yes


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