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Anchoring exchange rate


by Dr DeLisle Worrell


The key to successful economic policy in small very open economies (SVOEs) like Barbados is to secure the exchange rate anchor by ensuring the country’s reserves of foreign exchange remain at an adequate level.

SVOEs are price takers in international markets: they cannot increase their earnings by lowering their prices. To stay in the market they must achieve profitable production at the ruling international price.

A second reality for SVOEs is that they do not produce the consumption or intermediate goods they use; these are all imported, as are most items of machinery. The reason is that SVOEs have limited human and physical resources, and they can achieve internationally competitive scale in only a handful of activities.

A depreciation of the exchange rate therefore serves no good purpose, and it has the adverse consequences of high inflation and undermining investor confidence. Fear of devaluation therefore provokes capital flight, because no one wants to be caught out  by the devaluation.

How should the SVOE stabilize the external accounts to sustain adequate foreign reserves and to restore adequacy when reserves have been depleted? The answer: by containing aggregate demand, and thereby limiting the demand for imports, to fall within the supply of foreign exchange. The tools for aggregate demand management are Government revenue, expenditure and the strategy for financing government’s deficit.

These are the principles underlying the Barbados economic strategy.

The global recession has been a challenge for Barbados. Both our principal foreign exchange sectors (tourism and international business) were hit. And growth stalled in all three of our main markets: the UK, the US and Canada.

What has been our response? To persist with a strategy for adjustment and growth that has served us very well in the past. In the short run aggregate demand has to be cut, in line with the reduced availability of foreign exchange to buy imports. However, our economy has become more resilient in the face of shocks than we used to be. The cumulative real income contraction since 2008 is no more than three per cent, compared to a 14 per cent drop in the early 1990s.

Economic growth will not resume until the foreign exchange sectors get moving again. Barbados remains very competitive in tourism, international business and alcoholic beverages. In the 2013-2014 Global Competitiveness Report, Barbados outranks its Caribbean and Central American neighbours in ten of the 12 dimensions included in the report.

But we know we must do even better. We therefore aim to:

(a) accelerate the growth of worker productivity;

(b) upgrade the quality of services offered;

(c) enrich our product offerings and exploit market niches;

(d) selectively penetrate promising new markets, and sharpen our focus within well established markets.


The main thing we need from the international community is a better understanding of our reality, and support for these policies. Instead, the IMF, the rating agencies, the Basel Committee and the OECD have all taken well meaning initiatives which have in some way threatened the success of our adjustment and growth strategy.

We are engaging with these bodies with a view to gaining greater voice to express the realities of economic policymaking                            in SVOEs.

We welcome the establishment of small states fora at the IMF and World Bank, the regional consultative groups of the Financial Stability Board, and the peer reviews of the Global Forum. These are all fora we may use to get our message across.

This regional network of central banks and finance ministries is a further opportunity to get the message across, and we express our sincere thanks for the invitation to share these thoughts with you.


(These remarks by Governor of the Central Bank of Barbados, Dr DeLisle Worrell, were made at the 39th Meeting Of Network Of Central Banks And Finance Ministries Of Latin America And The Caribbean, sponsored by the Inter-American Development Bank, in Washington, DC, on Wednesday, April 9.)


One Response to Anchoring exchange rate

  1. Tony Webster April 15, 2014 at 8:40 am

    Given the target audience, (and undoubtedly a five-minute speaking window) this is an excellent “executive summary” through the technical pupils of our leading economist.

    However, had this been delivered to a Town-Hall meeting down the road here, which included our dearly-departed “Gearbox”, methinks that under-rated citizen would have risen from his favoured supline position, and might have said:
    “Guv. doan mek joke…effin we mek public servants any mo’ “productive” …dey en gine haf no mo money lef’ in de Treasury…at all, at all!
    An’ agen, wha’ happen to all de uthuh problems dat bin festerin all dese years…like littering; wholesale t’iefin crops; courts that stick-up in legal mud; crime; no molasses here to mek de rum; edicatin’ tershury yungsters who cyan even write proper… and den graduate dem, but nuh jobs fuh dem; Stock-Exchange is like a walking duppy; evabody want a “big-ride”, instead of fixin’ public transport. An wha’ we gine do when Raul get e’self sort out, and de worl’ and de wife headin’ ovuh to La Habana fuh a fantastic, dirt-cheap two-week experience on any one of their 1,000 beaches, mountains, rivers, and ‘istoric cities…and all dat costing less than 4 days here in Bim?” End of mis-quote.

    Doan worry… Gearbox was jus’ a joker, yuh hear?


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